Changchun YaTai 3-3 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.96
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.68
1/2
10%
20.7
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
14.9
X/1
6%
9.07
X/2
13%
4.36
X/X
14%
5.68
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.18
2/X
3%
13.65
Value flag · 1/X at 14.9 — our 13% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.9pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+6.0pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 58%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.70/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
-56% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -31%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
18.1 Crosses 21.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 2.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
271 Passes 373
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2025 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 4-2 HT 3-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
02.11.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
15.06.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
12.07.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.06.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
3-3
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.85 xG 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
496 Passes 350
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai and Zhejiang G. FC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zhejiang G. FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 57% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 43%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.85 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Changchun YaTai and 2.00 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Changchun YaTai 3-3 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 23%, draw 30%, Zhejiang G. FC 47%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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