Dukla Prag 1-3 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 34% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
0.81/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.20
+9% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
19.8 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Teplice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.75 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
207 Passes 300
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 1-2 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
08.03.2025 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
05.10.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
04.02.2024 Teplice Teplice 5-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
22.07.2022 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 4-1 HT 3-0 Teplice Teplice HAZ
23.11.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
1-3
AWAY Teplice
0.22 xG 1.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
208 Passes 304
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice got the better of Dukla Prag 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Teplice made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 43% of the ball to Teplice's 57%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.22 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Prag had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.67 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Teplice?

Dukla Prag 1-3 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 40%, draw 30%, Teplice 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dukla Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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