FK Pardubice 2-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.10/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.36
-22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +140%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.8 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Karvina
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.69 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
27.07.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.05.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 4-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.02.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.08.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
07.05.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
2-1
AWAY Karvina
2.18 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
194 Passes 336
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice nicked a narrow win over Karvina 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Pardubice as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 40% of the ball to Karvina's 60%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.18 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FK Pardubice and 0.50 for Karvina.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Karvina?

FK Pardubice 2-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 43%, draw 24%, Karvina 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Pardubice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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