Karvina 1-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
9.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 28% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.48/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.55
-19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
27.0 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.46 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.05.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 4-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.02.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.08.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
07.05.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
20.04.2022 Karvina Karvina 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karvina vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina edged past FK Pardubice 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karvina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Karvina had 46% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 54%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Karvina and 2.17 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Karvina vs FK Pardubice?

Karvina 1-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karvina 46%, draw 27%, FK Pardubice 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karvina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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