Bohemians 1905 3-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.16/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.47
-42% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
29.4 Crosses 20.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dukla Prag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 0.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
412 Passes 142
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
03.05.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
02.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 HAZ
02.12.2018 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
06.08.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
02.03.2018 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
3-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.90 xG 0.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
212 Passes 230
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 27
29 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 got the better of Dukla Prag 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bohemians 1905 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 50% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 50%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.90 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.67 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Dukla Prag?

Bohemians 1905 3-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 51%, draw 24%, Dukla Prag 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians 1905), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✓ BTTS Yes
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