Dukla Prag 1-0 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.29/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
03.05.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
02.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 HAZ
02.12.2018 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
06.08.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
02.03.2018 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
25.08.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
1-0
AWAY Bohemians 1905
0.30 xG 1.27
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
142 Passes 412
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag squeezed past Bohemians 1905 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians 1905 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 31% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 69%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.30 to 1.27 — on chances, Bohemians 1905 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dukla Prag and 0.83 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Bohemians 1905?

Dukla Prag 1-0 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 34%, draw 24%, Bohemians 1905 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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