Teplice 1-4 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 69%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
0.73/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.86
-26% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
Crosses 22.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.36 xG 2.26
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 388
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.12.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
19.08.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
04.03.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
10.09.2022 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 1-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
09.04.2022 Teplice Teplice 0-3 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
07.11.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-2 HT 2-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
1-4
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.87 xG 2.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
163 Passes 380
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag swept aside Teplice 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Teplice had 34% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 66%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.87 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Teplice and 2.67 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Sparta Prag?

Teplice 1-4 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Teplice 21%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5
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