Maidenhead United 1-0 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

Maidenhead United
1-0 HT 1-0
Worthing
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Maidenhead United vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +9%
2.01/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.29
+34% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
150 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 170 · 91%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Maidenhead United 1-0 Worthing — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-0
AWAY Worthing
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United squeezed past Worthing 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Maidenhead United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 51% of the ball to Worthing's 49%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Worthing?

Maidenhead United 1-0 Worthing in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 38%, draw 27%, Worthing 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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