Salisbury 0-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 52%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.70/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.41
-42% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
11.03.2025 Torquay United Torquay United 2-2 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
05.11.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United edged past Salisbury 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salisbury and 1.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Torquay United?

Salisbury 0-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 26%, draw 24%, Torquay United 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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