Torquay United 2-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.78/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.63
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
2-2
AWAY Salisbury
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United and Salisbury couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torquay United had 62% of the ball to Salisbury's 38%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Salisbury?

Torquay United 2-2 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 49%, draw 24%, Salisbury 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Torquay United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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