Maidstone United 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.50
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
13.12.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
16.08.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-4 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
26.02.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.10.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
16.01.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 2-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
1-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United and Dorking Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 56% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 44%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maidstone United and 2.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Maidstone United 1-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 31%, draw 28%, Dorking Wanderers 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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