Farnborough 0-2 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.0pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.20/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.44
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Boreham Wood
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 3-1 HT 2-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
09.02.2015 Farnborough Farnborough 0-3 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İCON
17.03.2014 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
0-2
AWAY Boreham Wood
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood beat Farnborough 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Farnborough had 47% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 53%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Farnborough and 2.33 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Boreham Wood?

Farnborough 0-2 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 30%, draw 24%, Boreham Wood 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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