Chippenham Town 0-3 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.85
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.38/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.05
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 580 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Truro City
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
01.04.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
30.09.2023 Truro City Truro City 0-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
14.04.2018 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
0-3
AWAY Truro City
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City ran out comfortable winners over Chippenham Town 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 51% of the ball to Truro City's 49%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chippenham Town and 0.25 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Truro City?

Chippenham Town 0-3 Truro City in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 28%, draw 25%, Truro City 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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