Chesham United 0-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

Chesham United
0-1 HT 0-0
Tonbridge Angels
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Tonbridge Angels — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.16/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.51
-23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.12.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-0 HT 1-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON

Chesham United 0-1 Tonbridge Angels — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
0-1
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels nicked a narrow win over Chesham United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Tonbridge Angels made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Chesham United had 51% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 49%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Chesham United 0-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 40%, draw 26%, Tonbridge Angels 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chesham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
11 Mar 2025
00:00 Darlington 1883 vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
22:45 Weymouth vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
22:45 Farnborough vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
22:45 Maidstone United vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
22:45 Bath City vs Slough Town Analysis →
22:45 Chippenham Town vs Truro City Analysis →