Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Dec 2024

Tonbridge Angels
1-0 HT 1-0
Chesham United
📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tonbridge Angels v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.87/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chesham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1-0
AWAY Chesham United
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels edged past Chesham United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Tonbridge Angels made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 35% of the ball to Chesham United's 65%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?

Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 37%, draw 26%, Chesham United 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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