Hereford FC 1-0 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.72/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.52
+23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
28.11.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
07.01.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
13.08.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
1-0
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC edged past Scarborough Athletic 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Hereford FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 40% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 60%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hereford FC and 1.25 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Scarborough Athletic?

Hereford FC 1-0 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 38%, draw 27%, Scarborough Athletic 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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