Salisbury 0-2 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Dec 2024

Salisbury
0-2 HT 0-1
Maidstone United
📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Salisbury vs Maidstone United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
47%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 28% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salisbury v Maidstone United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 54%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
0.24/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.42
-81% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 580 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Salisbury 0-2 Maidstone United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
0-2
AWAY Maidstone United
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United saw off Salisbury 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Salisbury had 56% of the ball to Maidstone United's 44%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Maidstone United?

Salisbury 0-2 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 30%, draw 25%, Maidstone United 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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