Truro City 1-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
2.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.22
+15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
30.09.2023 Truro City Truro City 0-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
14.04.2018 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
1-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City and Chippenham Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Truro City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Truro City had 56% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Truro City and 1.33 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Chippenham Town?

Truro City 1-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Truro City 54%, draw 22%, Chippenham Town 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Truro City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Truro City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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