Darlington 1883 2-1 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.11
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
30.11.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-4 HT 1-3 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
2-1
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 squeezed past Radcliffe Borough 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 52% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 48%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Radcliffe Borough?

Darlington 1883 2-1 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 46%, draw 24%, Radcliffe Borough 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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