Radcliffe Borough 1-4 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 39%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.38/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.30
-2% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1-4
AWAY Darlington 1883
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 cruised past Radcliffe Borough 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Darlington 1883 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 52% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Darlington 1883?

Radcliffe Borough 1-4 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 37%, draw 27%, Darlington 1883 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radcliffe Borough), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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