Dundee United 1-1 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Oct 2025

Dundee United
1-1 HT 0-1
Livingston
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Dundee United vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
12%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.35
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.39
X/2
7%
8.77
X/X
10%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
14%
6.82
2/X
5%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -23%
1.47/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.18
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
273 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 62%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.7 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dundee United vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Livingston
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
269 Passes 241
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.05.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
22.04.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
08.03.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
31.08.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 0-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
07.08.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.03.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP

Dundee United 1-1 Livingston — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-1
AWAY Livingston
2.13 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
206 Passes 304
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 27
33 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United and Livingston shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundee United had 44% of the ball to Livingston's 56%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.13 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee United and 1.17 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Livingston?

Dundee United 1-1 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 47%, draw 25%, Livingston 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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