Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 2-0 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock saw off St. Mirren 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Kilmarnock made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 36% of the ball to St. Mirren's 64%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.96 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.83 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?
Kilmarnock 2-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 40%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.