Leeds United 1-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

Leeds United
1-2 HT 1-1
Tottenham
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Leeds United vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.01
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.92
X/2
14%
5.55
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.64
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -34%
1.39/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.81
-28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
21.6 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Leeds United vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Tottenham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.54 xG 1.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
396 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.05.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-4 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
12.11.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 4-3 HT 1-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
26.02.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 0-4 HT 0-3 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
21.11.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
08.05.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 3-1 HT 2-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
02.01.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 3-0 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP

Leeds United 1-2 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
1-2
AWAY Tottenham
1.68 xG 0.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
401 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham squeezed past Leeds United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Tottenham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Leeds United had 56% of the ball to Tottenham's 44%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.68 to 0.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leeds United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leeds United and 3.00 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Tottenham?

Leeds United 1-2 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 37%, draw 27%, Tottenham 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leeds United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
4 Oct 2025
17:00 Arsenal vs West Ham United Analysis →
17:00 Manchester United vs Sunderland Analysis →
19:30 Chelsea vs Liverpool Analysis →