Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

Arsenal
2-0 HT 1-0
West Ham United
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Arsenal vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.7
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.35
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.85
X/1
20%
3.85
X/2
4%
25.5
X/X
8%
9.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
2/2
5%
21.8
2/X
4%
29.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
77%
-6.8pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.8pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
2.24/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.83
+8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
503 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
45.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.8 Crosses 15.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Arsenal vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY West Ham United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.44 xG 1.08
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
572 Passes 208
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Arsenal Arsenal 0-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
30.11.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-5 HT 2-5 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
11.02.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-6 HT 0-4 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
28.12.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 0-2 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
01.11.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNLK
16.04.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 1-2 Arsenal Arsenal İNP

Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
2-0
AWAY West Ham United
2.77 xG 0.43
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
498 Passes 210
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
46 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal saw off West Ham United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal had 68% of the ball to West Ham United's 32%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.77 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arsenal and 1.67 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs West Ham United?

Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 71%, draw 17%, West Ham United 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
4 Oct 2025
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