Arsenal 0-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

Arsenal
0-1 HT 0-1
West Ham United
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Arsenal vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
11.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.55
X/1
15%
3.56
X/2
6%
18.75
X/X
12%
6.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.0
2/2
6%
17.85
2/X
6%
26.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
2.21/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.04
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
504 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 78%
45.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.7 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Arsenal vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY West Ham United
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.61 xG 1.07
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
574 Passes 209
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-5 HT 2-5 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
11.02.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-6 HT 0-4 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
28.12.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 0-2 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
01.11.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNLK
16.04.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 1-2 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
26.12.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 3-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Arsenal 0-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
0-1
AWAY West Ham United
1.22 xG 1.07
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
574 Passes 241
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United nicked a narrow win over Arsenal 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Arsenal carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal had 68% of the ball to West Ham United's 32%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.22 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Arsenal and 1.67 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs West Ham United?

Arsenal 0-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 59%, draw 24%, West Ham United 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
22 Feb 2025
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