Everton vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Manchester United
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Everton
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Everton
FAK
1-2
HT 1-2
Manchester United
İNP
Everton 2-2 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics
Everton and Manchester United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Everton had 38% of the ball to Manchester United's 62%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.91 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Everton and 2.67 for Manchester United.
What was the final score of Everton vs Manchester United?
Everton 2-2 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Manchester United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Everton 39%, draw 28%, Manchester United 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.