Manchester United 4-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

Manchester United
4-0 HT 2-0
Everton
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.65
X/1
13%
4.3
X/2
6%
12.2
X/X
10%
6.04
2/1
12%
26.5
2/2
11%
9.54
2/X
8%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.04/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.63
-8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
490 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.9 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Manchester United vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Everton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.11 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
457 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
26.11.2023 Everton Everton 0-3 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
08.04.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
06.01.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton FAK
09.10.2022 Everton Everton 1-2 HT 1-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
09.04.2022 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 4-0 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
4-0
AWAY Everton
1.07 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
566 Passes 356
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 13
6 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United swept aside Everton 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Manchester United had 60% of the ball to Everton's 40%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester United and 0.50 for Everton.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Everton?

Manchester United 4-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 53%, draw 24%, Everton 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
1 Dec 2024
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