Manchester United 2-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

Manchester United
2-0 HT 2-0
Everton
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Manchester United vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.4
X/2
11%
7.91
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
14%
5.64
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.41/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.52
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.6 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Manchester United vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Everton
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
492 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Everton Everton 0-3 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
08.04.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
06.01.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton FAK
09.10.2022 Everton Everton 1-2 HT 1-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
09.04.2022 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
02.10.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP

Manchester United 2-0 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
2-0
AWAY Everton
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 23
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
398 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United beat Everton 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Manchester United had 51% of the ball to Everton's 49%, shots finished 15-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Manchester United and 0.67 for Everton.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Everton?

Manchester United 2-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 43%, draw 26%, Everton 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✗ Over 2.5
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