Wolverhampton 2-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.45
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.29
X/2
11%
5.9
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.01
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.27/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.41
-21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.0 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fulham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
354 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
24.02.2023 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
13.08.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
09.04.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
04.10.2020 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
04.05.2019 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
2-1
AWAY Fulham
0.83 xG 2.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
383 Passes 417
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton edged past Fulham 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wolverhampton as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 48% of the ball to Fulham's 52%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.83 to 2.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fulham.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 0.67 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Fulham?

Wolverhampton 2-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 41%, draw 26%, Fulham 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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