Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chelsea v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chelsea 3-0 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea overpowered Aston Villa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (63%) came in, both teams to score (58%) didn't.
Under the surface, Chelsea had 64% of the ball to Aston Villa's 36%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.69 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chelsea and 1.17 for Aston Villa.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score
Chelsea 3 - 0 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 59%, draw 22%, Aston Villa 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.