Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aston Villa v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea saw off Aston Villa 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.
We leaned Aston Villa at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came home.
Under the surface, Aston Villa had 49% of the ball to Chelsea's 51%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.06 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aston Villa and 0.83 for Chelsea.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Result & Final Score
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Chelsea in the England - FA Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 46%, draw 24%, Chelsea 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa) went the other way.