Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Liverpool
İNP
4-1
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
3-2
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Manchester City
İNP
3-1
HT 1-0
Manchester City
İCS
Liverpool 2-0 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool saw off Manchester City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Liverpool made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Liverpool had 44% of the ball to Manchester City's 56%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 3.57 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool and 1.67 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Liverpool 2-0 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 40%, draw 31%, Manchester City 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.