Bergnäsets 3-4 Friska Viljor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
53%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
53%
Away Win
46%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.4pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Friska Viljor FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.40/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+54% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
17.08.2025 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC 5-2 HT 3-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇD4
09.09.2023 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
13.05.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-2 HT 1-2 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC İSÇ4
08.10.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-0 HT 0-0 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC İSÇ4
18.08.2021 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Friska Viljor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Friska Viljor FC nicked a narrow win over Bergnäsets 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Friska Viljor FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Friska Viljor FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bergnäsets and 2.80 for Friska Viljor FC.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Friska Viljor FC?

Bergnäsets 3-4 Friska Viljor FC in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Friska Viljor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Friska Viljor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 26%, draw 21%, Friska Viljor FC 53%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Friska Viljor FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Friska Viljor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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