Alberite 1-1 Puerto de Vega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
25%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alberite EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Puerto de Vega EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alberite vs Puerto de Vega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alberite and Puerto de Vega shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Puerto de Vega at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Alberite vs Puerto de Vega?

Alberite 1-1 Puerto de Vega in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alberite vs Puerto de Vega?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puerto de Vega win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alberite 19%, draw 27%, Puerto de Vega 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puerto de Vega), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puerto de Vega) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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