04/10/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Negreira vs Escudo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
26%
Draw
25%
27%
Away Win
26%
45%
Under 2.5
44%
55%
Over 2.5
56%
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
45%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Negreira v Escudo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Negreira
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Escudo
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
392 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
329 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Negreira vs Escudo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Negreira cruised past Escudo 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Negreira as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Negreira vs Escudo?
Negreira 4-0 Escudo in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Negreira vs Escudo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Negreira win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Negreira 47%, draw 26%, Escudo 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Negreira), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Negreira)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSPK
More Spain - Copa del Rey
4 Oct 2025