04/10/2025
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Lourdes vs CE Sant Jordi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
30%
Draw
28%
37%
Away Win
27%
58%
Under 2.5
53%
42%
Over 2.5
47%
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
50%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lourdes v CE Sant Jordi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lourdes
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
CE Sant Jordi
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
356 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lourdes vs CE Sant Jordi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
CE Sant Jordi beat Lourdes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; CE Sant Jordi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lourdes vs CE Sant Jordi?
Lourdes 1-3 CE Sant Jordi in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lourdes vs CE Sant Jordi?
Before kick-off our model rated an CE Sant Jordi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lourdes 33%, draw 30%, CE Sant Jordi 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CE Sant Jordi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (CE Sant Jordi)
✗ Under 2.5
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