Lourdes 1-3 CE Sant Jordi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-11.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lourdes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CE Sant Jordi EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lourdes vs CE Sant Jordi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CE Sant Jordi beat Lourdes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; CE Sant Jordi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lourdes vs CE Sant Jordi?

Lourdes 1-3 CE Sant Jordi in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lourdes vs CE Sant Jordi?

Before kick-off our model rated an CE Sant Jordi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lourdes 33%, draw 30%, CE Sant Jordi 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CE Sant Jordi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CE Sant Jordi) ✗ Under 2.5
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