Cham 3-1 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.5pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cham EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -13%
2.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.44
+16% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cham
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Luzern II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Cham Cham 3-4 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
20.04.2024 Luzern II Luzern II 3-2 HT 1-1 Cham Cham İSV1Y
18.10.2023 Cham Cham 3-2 HT 1-0 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
01.04.2023 Cham Cham 3-1 HT 1-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Cham vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cham got the better of Luzern II 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Cham and 2.50 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Cham vs Luzern II?

Cham 3-1 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cham vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cham 44%, draw 19%, Luzern II 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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