Grand-Saconnex 1-3 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grand-Saconnex EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 55%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
3.00/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+108% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grand-Saconnex
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bavois
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Grand-Saconnex Grand-Saconnex 5-1 Bavois İSV1Y
10.08.2024 Bavois 1-1 HT 0-0 Grand-Saconnex Grand-Saconnex İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grand-Saconnex
1-3
AWAY Bavois
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grand-Saconnex vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois got the better of Grand-Saconnex 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bavois as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Grand-Saconnex had 48% of the ball to Bavois's 52%, shots finished 13-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Grand-Saconnex had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Grand-Saconnex and 1.00 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Grand-Saconnex vs Bavois?

Grand-Saconnex 1-3 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grand-Saconnex vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Grand-Saconnex 34%, draw 19%, Bavois 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bavois), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bavois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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