Lugano II 2-2 Paradiso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradiso EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.27/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.50
-26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Paradiso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Lugano II Lugano II 1-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
30.11.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 2-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
09.03.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
02.09.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 0-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
2-2
AWAY Paradiso
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Paradiso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II and Paradiso couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lugano II had 52% of the ball to Paradiso's 48%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paradiso led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano II and 1.25 for Paradiso.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Paradiso?

Lugano II 2-2 Paradiso in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Paradiso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 41%, draw 27%, Paradiso 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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