Lugano II 1-1 Paradiso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradiso EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.11/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.12
-30% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Paradiso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 2-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
09.03.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
02.09.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 0-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
1-1
AWAY Paradiso
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Paradiso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II and Paradiso couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Lugano II had 37% of the ball to Paradiso's 63%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paradiso led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano II and 1.33 for Paradiso.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Paradiso?

Lugano II 1-1 Paradiso in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Paradiso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 43%, draw 29%, Paradiso 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV1Y More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
26 Apr 2025
17:00 Basel II vs Baden Analysis →
17:00 Breitenrain vs Bavois Analysis →
17:00 Brühl vs Cham Analysis →
17:00 Young Boys II vs Delemont Analysis →