Real Madrid (K) 3-0 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.22
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
77%
-44.0pp
33%
Draw
14%
+18.9pp
33%
Away Win
8%
+24.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.96
+2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
40.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.9 Crosses 11.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Badalona (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.03
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
467 Passes 180
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
36 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
09.11.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
3-0
AWAY Badalona (K)
2.01 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
275 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) swept aside Badalona (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 50% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 50%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.01 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 1.50 for Badalona (K).

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 3-0 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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