Sevilla (K) 1-0 Espanyol (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-12.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.34
+100% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.2 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Espanyol (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.91 xG 0.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
263 Passes 160
69% Pass Accuracy 57%
12 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2025 Espanyol (K) Espanyol (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
19.10.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol (K) Espanyol (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
1-0
AWAY Espanyol (K)
0.49 xG 0.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
291 Passes 243
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 3
11 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Espanyol (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) nicked a narrow win over Espanyol (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sevilla (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 54% of the ball to Espanyol (K)'s 46%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.49 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sevilla (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sevilla (K) and 0.00 for Espanyol (K).

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Espanyol (K)?

Sevilla (K) 1-0 Espanyol (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Espanyol (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Espanyol (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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