Real Sociedad (K) 1-2 Tenerife (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
49%
-15.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.84/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.29
+96% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.9 Crosses 19.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Tenerife (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
370 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
12.05.2024 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
07.01.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 3-3 HT 2-1 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
1-2
AWAY Tenerife (K)
0.82 xG 1.07
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
353 Passes 138
76% Pass Accuracy 57%
15 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad (K) vs Tenerife (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad (K) 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tenerife (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Sociedad (K) had 66% of the ball to Tenerife (K)'s 34%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.82 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Sociedad (K) and 1.00 for Tenerife (K).

What was the final score of Real Sociedad (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Real Sociedad (K) 1-2 Tenerife (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad (K) 33%, draw 33%, Tenerife (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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4 Oct 2025
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