FC Dallas 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.08
2-3 Goals
37%
2.22
4-5 Goals
27%
2.39
6+ Goals
14%
4.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.93
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
21%
4.61
X/2
7%
10.9
X/X
8%
7.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
17.3
2/2
11%
7.11
2/X
4%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.3 — our 13% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.62/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.82
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.7 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.61
40% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 546
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
30.05.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
22.10.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-4 HT 1-4 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
05.03.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-1 HT 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
31.07.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
15.05.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-1
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.20 xG 0.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
241 Passes 511
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Dallas edged past Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 in the USA - Major League on 4 Oct 2025.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 36% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 64%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.20 to 0.49.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Dallas and 1.00 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

FC Dallas 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 57%, draw 20%, Los Angeles Galaxy 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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