DC United 0-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.37
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.63
X/2
12%
6.19
X/X
12%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
18%
3.9
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.50/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.55
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.2 Crosses 13.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Charlotte
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
392 Passes 392
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-1 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
22.05.2025 DC United DC United 3-3 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABDK
20.10.2024 DC United DC United 0-3 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
16.06.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
17.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
30.04.2023 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
0-1
AWAY Charlotte
0.51 xG 0.51
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 13
161 Passes 514
74% Pass Accuracy 92%
16 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH DC United vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte nicked a narrow win over DC United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Charlotte found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, DC United had 28% of the ball to Charlotte's 72%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.51 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for DC United and 1.50 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of DC United vs Charlotte?

DC United 0-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split DC United 38%, draw 24%, Charlotte 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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