DC United 3-3 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 22 May 2025

DC United
3-3 HT 1-0
Charlotte
📅22/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Open Cup – 2025

DC United vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.6
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.64
X/2
14%
7.81
X/X
10%
5.16
2/1
11%
23.3
2/2
11%
5.79
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

DC United v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

DC United vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Charlotte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 353
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2024 DC United DC United 0-3 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
16.06.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
17.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
30.04.2023 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
04.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 3-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
27.02.2022 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

DC United 3-3 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
3-3
AWAY Charlotte
1.02 xG 2.03
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
705 Passes 428
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH DC United vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and Charlotte couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, DC United had 60% of the ball to Charlotte's 40%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.02 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for DC United and 1.17 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of DC United vs Charlotte?

DC United 3-3 Charlotte in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split DC United 40%, draw 29%, Charlotte 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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