Orlando City vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Orlando City
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
Orlando City
ABD
0-2
HT 0-1
Nashville SC
ABD
Orlando City 2-3 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC squeezed past Orlando City 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Orlando City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Orlando City had 52% of the ball to Nashville SC's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.17 to 0.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Orlando City.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando City and 0.33 for Nashville SC.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs Nashville SC?
Orlando City 2-3 Nashville SC in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Nashville SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 43%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.