Minnesota United vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Minnesota United v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Minnesota United vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Minnesota United found just enough to beat St. Louis City 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Minnesota United and 0.80 for St. Louis City.
Minnesota United vs St. Louis City Result & Final Score
Minnesota United 3 - 2 St. Louis City in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Minnesota United vs St. Louis City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 42%, draw 27%, St. Louis City 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.