Minnesota United vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Minnesota United v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Minnesota United vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
Minnesota United 3-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United swept aside St. Louis City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Minnesota United had 47% of the ball to St. Louis City's 53%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.50 to 0.42.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Minnesota United and 1.00 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Minnesota United vs St. Louis City?
Minnesota United 3-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 54%, draw 20%, St. Louis City 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.