Columbus Crew 1-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.61
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.81
X/2
9%
7.86
X/X
11%
5.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.45
2/2
11%
5.55
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +10%
1.48/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.62
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.6 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
482 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
12.05.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
03.12.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-3 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
21.08.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
21.05.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
28.08.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-2 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
2.87 xG 0.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
569 Passes 229
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 68% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 32%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.87 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.50 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

Columbus Crew 1-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 46%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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